Many resource-rich, rural communities in the U.S. are stressed by poverty. Communities that
once relied on their forests, bays, ocean shores, or mineral lodes for a steady and dependable
source of employment and income are seeing jobs disappear as the resource becomes costlier to
harvest, or shifts in markets and technology make their resources obsolete. Without the ability to
substitute manufactured capital -- machines, buildings, learned skills -- for their bounty of natural
capital, a community's reliance on the stock of natural capital becomes more critical. When
communities expend their capital stock, or it no longer satisfies an exported demand, their
economies suffer.
As communities grapple with the issues of redevelopment and economic revitalization, they are
reminded of the importance and value of their stock of natural resources to their livelihoods and
way of life. In many communities people have expressed their desire to retain their rural identity
and to protect the resources that have in the past provided them with income. They discover new
ways of capitalizing on their endowment of natural resources to bring in jobs and income. Many
communities are using the notion of sustainable development to guide growth and economic
improvement.
Ecologically sustainable economic development is a concept being adopted as a guide to policy
making in the U.S. At the local level, Northampton County, Virginia has embarked on an
initiative to identify and promote sustainable development activities on Virginia's Eastern Shore
(Smutko, Danielson, and Johnson, 1993).
Sustainable development is a conceptual tool using economic and ecological principles to guide
economic growth and improvement. A social-environmental movement formalized by the
Bruntland Commission in 1987 (WECD, 1987), sustainable development was conceived in
response to developing countries' reliance on commodity exports for foreign exchange and the
environmental degradation that commonly results from over-exploitation of their natural
resources. At this level, national accounts, world markets and GNP measures of national welfare
are the operable maxims of sustainable development. If communities and sub-state regions in the
U.S. are to adopt sustainable development principles, the challenge becomes one of converting
concepts of foreign trade and national accounts to the local level, i.e., creating a regional
sustainable development concept.
Sustainable development concepts conceivably can be applied at any scale. However, there are
problems with adapting them to a regional level. Traditional analysis of sustainable development
concerns itself with closed economic and ecological systems. In these systems, flows of
resources, goods and services, labor and technology are endogenous. By contrast, regional (as
opposed to global) systems are open; resources and wastes commonly cross regional boundaries.
Sustainability is essentially imported, and unsustainability is exported. This makes analyses of
regional sustainability difficult. If one community chooses to convert its wetlands and other
wildland habitat into condominiums and boutiques, and another chooses to maintain its resource
base intact for the values it offers, is the former community violating precepts of sustainability? Is
the latter on a "more sustainable" path? If cross-boundary flows of goods, wastes,
services and people are not restricted, as is typical of U.S. communities and regions, is
sustainability of the region's economic and ecological systems an issue? In the analysis of regional
sustainability, concepts such as scale, characteristics of the resource, and characteristics of the
regional economy, are all relevant.
Defining a concept of regional sustainable development introduces other problems related to
measurement. Movement toward the goal of regional sustainability implies that the region's
environmental, economic, social, and cultural attributes remain sufficiently intact to enable
perpetuation of the regional system. Hence, indicators need to be devised to measure changes in
the state of these attributes as communities and regions grow and change.
Communities are constantly faced with choices among economic development alternatives.
Capital investment by government and the private sector has long-term consequences. If
communities are to strive toward more sustainable development paths, they need a method of
comparing development alternatives within the framework of the sustainability concept.
The intent of this study is to develop an operational model to guide communities and regions in
their development decisions. Specifically, the methodology developed here is a comparative
analysis of regional economic development alternatives with respect to the degree of sustainability
each achieves.
Conditions for Regional Sustainable Development
In the U.S., regions are often defined geo-politically as a single county or multiple counties. The
sustainable development paradigm has lately been adopted by many local governments (e.g.,
counties and multi-county regions) as a preferred path for regional economic development.
Applying the sustainable development model to guide economic growth is useful only in cases
where the characteristics of the resource and region support the paradigm. In order for regional
sustainable development (RSD) to be established as a valid concept within the larger context of
sustainable development, at least one of the following conditions is necessary: (1) the region
encompasses one or more functional elements of the ecosystem; (2) the resource is unique; (3)
the resource is or has the potential to be a significant component of the region's economy; (4)
values associated with the resource enter directly into regional household utility functions; (5)
there are barriers to substitution and reinvestment of manufactured capital for natural capital; and
(6) development decisions at the regional level affect the welfare level of other regions.
There is no single best measure of sustainability for all geographical areas. Many alternative
economic, social, cultural and environmental or ecological indicators could be chosen depending
upon resources available and resource limitations locally, the economic activities being considered
and local preferences. In general, it is more feasible to work with a small number of indicators
than a large number.
Results
Productivity
Economic
Diversity
Economic
Measuring Sustainability
The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has been working independently to develop a workable set of
sustainable development indicators (TNC, no date). TNC's framework consists of four
categories: (1) productivity; (2) diversity; (3) stability/equilibrium; and
(4) adaptability/vitality. Three types of indicators ecological, economic and social are
defined within each category.
In this study, objective measures were developed for two of the three indicators, namely: ecologic
and economic. An input-output framework is developed to measure the economic and ecologic
productivity of alternative development scenarios. Other analytical techniques are used to
estimate effects of development alternatives on the diversity and stability of ecologic and
economic systems. (Because of the time-dimensional characteristics of ecological and economic
adaptability, and the limited ability of the input-output framework to incorporate the time
dynamic, this category is not measured). These various techniques are combined to form an index
of economic-ecological sustainability. The methodology is tested using case examples of
development alternatives for Northampton County, Virginia.
Two economic develop scenarios for Northampton County are introduced: (1) promoting and
enhancing the capacity of the county to provide quality nature-based tourism activities that will
attract a significant level of visitors bringing money into the community; and (2) revitalizing the
vegetable processing industry to regain employment levels of a decade ago.
Each scenario is modeled so that approximately 650 people are employed in the target industries
in the county. In the vegetable processing scenario, this means that 650 people are directly
employed in vegetable canning and freezing, and in the case of tourism, 650 people are employed
in motels/inns and restaurants/bars combined. Comparisons are drawn between the two scenarios
with respect to changes from baseline sustainability indicators.
Measured by change in gross regional product, the vegetable processing scenario measured higher
in economic productivity than did the tourism scenario, although more jobs were created through
the enhancement of tourism. For each new tourism job generated, 5.8 jobs were generated
elsewhere in the economy, and for each new job filled in the vegetable processing sector, only 1.4
jobs are generated in other sectors. Tourism creates jobs, yet these jobs tend to be low paying.
Total income (proprietary and wage income) per job generated in the tourism scenario averaged
$29,438, while value-added per job generated was about $17,978. Total income per job
generated in the vegetable processing scenario, on the other hand, was nearly 1.5 times that, or
about $43,293.
Ecologic
Ecological stress, derived from estimates of wastewater effluent
production, was used as a measure of ecological productivity. Effluent production differs
substantially between the two scenarios. Vegetable processing requires large amounts of water to
transport, wash, cook, and cool the vegetables, and maintain the processing equipment. As water
moves through the process, it picks up large amounts of suspended solids and other
oxygen-consuming wastes. Nearly all of the wastewater generated in the processing scenario
economy-wide come from the vegetable processing sector. The production level needed to meet
the scenario employment goal in the vegetable processing sector generates over 1.6 million
pounds of biological oxygen demand (BOD) and 757,000 bounds of total suspended solids
annually. Wastes generated in the tourism scenario are principally from the hotel/lodging sector
and increases in municipal waste discharges associated with added employment. Wastes
generated by the influx of tourists into the county account for about 34,000 pounds of BOD and
19,000 pounds of TSS per year. However, total amount of effluent produced in the tourism
scenario was significantly less than that produced in the vegetable processing scenario.
Diversity, as a sustainability indicator, is a measure of the spread of economic activity (an
economic measure), as well as the amount and variation in habitat types (an ecological measure)
of a region. In terms of economic diversity, there was relatively little change from the baseline
share of employment resulting from either development scenario. Stimulating the tourism
industry resulted in a slight decrease in economic diversity, while the increasing final demand for
processed vegetables resulted in a slightly more even spread of employment across
industries.
Ecologic
Converting land from wild habitat to other uses decreases the ecological diversity of the region.
In this study, it is assumed that any new land brought into urban or agricultural uses is removed
from the pool of wildland habitat. Granted, economic growth will result in the conversion of
some lands from wildland to other uses, the degree to which lands will be substituted
among uses is not detectable using this model. The model assumes that no substitution
occurs, resulting in a probable over-allocation of lands from wildland to urban and agricultural
uses. Not allowing for substitution, the model indicates that 30,000 more acres will be converted
to other uses through increases in vegetable processing than through increases in tourism. If we
allow no conversion into agricultural uses and require the new crop mix be created through crop
substitution, then the impact of the vegetable processing scenario on wildland habitat acreage is
relatively small. In this case, only 28 acres are converted for seasonal housing and lodging units
through the vegetable processing scenario, compared to 468 acres used for these purposes in the
tourism scenario. Since substitution into seasonal housing and lodging units from other urban
uses is more difficult than is substituting among crops, the latter situation is a more likely
scenario, i.e., conversion is more likely to arise from urban uses than from agricultural uses.
| Productivity | Diversity | Stability | Sustainability Index (sum) | ||||
| Scenario | Econ. | Ecol. | Econ. | Ecol. | Econ. | Ecol. | |
| Tourism | 14.64 | -7.74 | -2.02 | -0.14 | 20.81 | -0.21 | 25.33 |
| Veg.Process | 24.07 | -14.95 | 2.51 | -2.57 | 9.15 | -1.82 | 16.40 |
References
L. Steven Smutko
Extension Specialist
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina