Regional weather: Wednesday, May 14 - Southeast U.S. / Eastern Gulf: Warm and mostly dry Wednesday; showery weather moving over the mainland Thursday. Sunny to partly cloudy over most of the region today. Some clouds and a few showers for the northwesternmost areas this afternoon ahead of a cold front that is slowly moving southeast toward the region. Increased cloudiness and rain or scattered showers pressing east on Thursday and Thursday night. Some significant rain is possible for portions of AL and GA on Thursday. However, most of the FL peninsula will remain parched. Even when the front enters the region later this week, amounts for the peninsula look quite light. Widespread 80's today for highs, 70's and 80's on Thursday. Lows in the 50's and 60's.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny today, high in the upper 80's. Partly cloudy tonight, low in the low 60's. Increasing clouds with scattered showers or thunderstorms by Thursday afternoon. High in the mid 80's. Showers likely Thursday night.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Wednesday and Thursday: Despite the rainfall expected during the second day of Wednesday's transport event, Threat and Risk are Low as solar exposure will kill any airborne spores released this morning. Thursday's event tracks northeast, again under unfavorable conditions for survivable transport. Low Risk to cucurbits near the source and along the forecast pathways Wednesday and Thursday.