North Carolina State University
Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecast
Date Issued: 9 May 2008
Disease location(s): Orange County, FL
Trajectory Start: Apopka, FL
Forecaster: TK

Regional weather: Friday, May 9 - Southeast U.S. / Eastern Gulf: Active weather pattern this weekend. Mostly dry Friday; scattered showers central sections Saturday; scattered to numerous showers and storms on Sunday. A cold front is sagging southward through the northern sections of the Southeast today, though most rainfall associated with the front occurred last night. Partly cloudy skies, with some isolated to perhaps scattered showers southern and far eastern areas. The front will stall east-west across central sections on Saturday, then lift back north as a warm front as another low pressure area moving through the Ohio Valley / southern mid-Atlantic drags a cold front through the region on Sunday. Sunny to partly cloudy north and south on Saturday with scattered showers central near the stalled front. Partly to mostly cloudy region-wide on Sunday with scattered to numerous showers and storms. Best chance of rain and greatest amounts expected across the northern 1/2 of the Southeast with this next cold front. Highs mostly in the 80's Friday and Saturday, 70's and 80's Sunday. Lows 50's and 60's.
Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy today, 20% chance of showers, high in the low 90's. Clear to partly cloudy tonight and Saturday, low in the mid 60's, high in the upper 80's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Localized Threat ***
Friday through Sunday: Transport events move ENE each day. Conditions will vary; mostly unfavorable today, unfavorable Saturday, mixed on Sunday. No long-range threat. Airborne spores may be deposited near the source or toward the east coast. Weakly Moderate Risk for east-central FL cucurbits on Friday. Low Risk Saturday. Moderate Risk for east-central FL on Sunday.