Regional weather: Thursday, July 12 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A dissipating cold front over much of the region and an upper level disturbance is bringing some scattered showers to th, Tennessee River Valley, Ohio River Valley and the Southeast throughout the weekend. This feature may also cause heavy rainfall in areas of OK and TX and possibly AR and LA. Temperatures are beginning to fall for most areas as the showers and cloudy skies move in. Highs in the low-90's and upper 80's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north.

Trajectory weather: Today, mostly sunny skies. High in the mid-80's. Tonight, clear, low in the 60's. Tomorrow, parlty cloudy skies with a slight chance for showers. High in the upper 80's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low threat Thursday through Sunday. Moderate threat on Monday. ***

Thursday through Monday: The trajectories move northeast along the Atlantic Coast and offshore each day. Today, though there is mention of rain later in the forecast, sunny skies will provide unfavorable conditions for survivable transport and deposition of spores. Low Risk to cucurbits on Thursday. Friday through Sunday...mostly unfavorable conditions for survivable transport and depostion. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeastern VA Friday through Sunday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise on Wednesday. Monday...Conditions are mixed for survivable transport and deposition. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern VA, the DelMarVa peninsula, eastern MD and southern NJ. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise.