Regional weather: Thursday, July 12 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A dissipating cold front over much of the region and an upper level disturbance is bringing some scattered showers to th, Tennessee River Valley, Ohio River Valley and the Southeast throughout the weekend. This feature may also cause heavy rainfall in areas of OK and TX and possibly AR and LA. Temperatures are beginning to fall for most areas as the showers and cloudy skies move in. Highs in the low-90's and upper 80's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north.

Trajectory weather: Today, partly cloudy with 20% chance for showers. High in the upper-70's. Tonight, partly cloudy skies, low in the upper-50's. Tomorrow, increasing clouds, high in the mid-70's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low threat Thursday, Saturday and Monday. Moderate threat otherwise. ***

Thursday through Monday: Conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition today. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the source region today. Low Risk to cucurbits beyond. Friday...The event moves eastward and then northward. Conditions are mixed for survivable transport and deposition. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central and east-central NY. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in western MA, southern NH and southern VT. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Saturday's event moves north and then northeast. Conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the source region. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Sunday's event moves east. Conditions are mixed for survivable transport and deposition. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central and southeastern NY. Low Risk otherwise. Monday's event moves northeast, conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northern NY. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise.