Regional weather: Thursday, July 12 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A dissipating cold front over much of the region and an upper level disturbance is bringing some scattered showers to th, Tennessee River Valley, Ohio River Valley and the Southeast throughout the weekend. This feature may also cause heavy rainfall in areas of OK and TX and possibly AR and LA. Temperatures are beginning to fall for most areas as the showers and cloudy skies move in. Highs in the low-90's and upper 80's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north.

Trajectory weather: Prtly cloudy today, high in the mid-90's. Tonight, partly cloudy with 30% chance of showers. Low in the 70's. Tomorrow, partly cloudy skies with 20% chance of showers. High near 95.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate threat on Monday. Low threat otherwise. ***

Thursday through Monday: The trajectories move mostly north by northwest and curl around to stay within TX. Conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition throughout the forecast period with the exception of Monday when there is a good chance for showers. Low Risk to cucurbits Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Sunday, Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central TX. Monday, Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in Deep South TX. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits around the Big Bend of TX on Monday. Low Risk to cucurbits beyond.