North Carolina State University
Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecast
Date Issued: 12 July 2007
Disease location(s): Florence, Horry and Clarendon Counties SC
Trajectory Start: Timmonsville, Aynor and Clarendon, SC
Forecaster: SC

Regional weather: Thursday, July 12 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A dissipating cold front over much of the region and an upper level disturbance is bringing some scattered showers to th, Tennessee River Valley, Ohio River Valley and the Southeast throughout the weekend. This feature may also cause heavy rainfall in areas of OK and TX and possibly AR and LA. Temperatures are beginning to fall for most areas as the showers and cloudy skies move in. Highs in the low-90's and upper 80's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north.
Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny skies today becoming partly cloudy with a chance for showers. High in the 90's. Tonight, mostly clear, 70. Tomorrow, partly cloudy with 30% chance of showers. High in the 90's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low threat Thursday and Friday. Moderate threat Saturday through Monday. ***
Thursday through Monday: The events for both days move northeast along the Atlantic Coast. Mostly unfavorable conditions for survivable transport and deposition are present today and tomorrow. Low Risk to cucurbits today. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northeastern SC and southeastern NC on Friday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Conditions are mixed to favorable for survivable transport and deposition later in the forecast period. Saturday...Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the eastern two-thirds of NC and eastern VA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in MD and the DelMarVa peninsula. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern NJ and Long Island, NY. Low Risk otherwise. Sunday and Monday...Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northeastern SC, the eastern two-thirds of NC, southeastern VA and the DelMarVa peninsula. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise.