Regional weather: Thursday, July 12 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A dissipating cold front over much of the region and an upper level disturbance is bringing some scattered showers to th, Tennessee River Valley, Ohio River Valley and the Southeast throughout the weekend. This feature may also cause heavy rainfall in areas of OK and TX and possibly AR and LA. Temperatures are beginning to fall for most areas as the showers and cloudy skies move in. Highs in the low-90's and upper 80's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north.

Trajectory weather: Today, partly cloudy skies with high in the low-90's. Tonight, partly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers. Tomorrow, partly cloudy skies. High in the upper 80's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low threat today. Modeate threat Friday through Monday. ***

Thursday through Monday: As has been the case for the past few forecasts, the trajectories move northeast along the Atlantic Coast each day. Conditions are mostly unfavorable today and then mixed to favorable for the remainder of the forecast period. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northeastern SC and eastern NC Thursday. Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeastern SC on Friday. Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern SC and eastern NC on Saturday and Sunday. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeastern VA and the DelMarVa peninsula Saturday and Sunday. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern SC and the eastern half of NC on Monday. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeastern VA and the DelMarVa peninsula on Monday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise.