Regional weather Thursday, July 5- Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A slow moving cold front will approach New England and the Mid-Atlantic states today. Scattered showers are possible for these areas as well as areas of the Ohio River Valley. Rain continues to fall in TX and parts of OK today, as well as in FL. Other areas should expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with warm temperatures today. Highs in the 90's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north. Into the weekend...high pressure will re-establish itself in areas affected by the cold front. Expect mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. There is a chance for afternoon thundershowers in some areas. Highs in the 80's and 90's. Lows in the 50's and 60's north and 70's south.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies today with 50-80% chances of rain. High in the upper 70's. Tonight, mostly cloudy with 60% chance of showers. Low in the lower 60's. Tomorrow, mostly cloudy with 30% chance of rain. High near 80.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Serious threat Thursday. Moderate threat Friday and Monday. Low threat Saturday and Sunday. ***

Thursday through Monday: Conditions are favorable for survivable transport and deposition. High Risk to cucurbits around the source region, as well as in central NY and western MA on Thursday. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern MA, northern CT and northern RI. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Friday's event travels southeast. Conditions are mixed for survivable transport and deposition. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in south-central and southeastern NY and the northeastern corner of PA on Friday. Weakly Moderte Risk to cucurbits in northern NJ and Long Island, NY. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Saturday through Monday's events move eastward. Conditions are mostly unfavorable to unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition on Saturday and Sunday. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central NY on Saturday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise on Saturday and Sunday. Conditions are mixed for survivable transport and deposition on Monday. Moderate Risk to cucurbits around the source and in central NY. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern NH, southern VT, MA, northern CT and northern RI on Monday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise.