Regional weather: Thursday, July 5 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A slow moving cold front will approach New England and the Mid-Atlantic states today. Scattered showers are possible for these areas as well as areas of the Ohio River Valley. Rain continues to fall in TX and parts of OK today, as well as in FL. Other areas should expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with warm temperatures today. Highs in the 90's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north. Into the weekend...high pressure will re-establish itself in areas affected by the cold front. Expect mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. There is a chance for afternoon thundershowers in some areas. Highs in the 80's and 90's. Lows in the 50's and 60's north and 70's south.

Trajectory weather: Today, partly to mostly cloudy with 50% chance of precipitation. HIgh in the lower 80's. Tonight, mostly cloudy with a good chance for showers. Low in the lower 60's. Tomorrow, partly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain. High in the mid-80's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Serious threat on Thursday. Moderate threat on Monday. Low threat otherwise. ***

Thursday through Monday: Conditions are favorable for survivable transport and deposition today. High Risk to cucurbits in northeastern OH, western NY, PA, MD and southern Ontario, Canada near the Elgin County source on Thursday. Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in teh DelMarVa peninsula and southern NJ. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Friday's event moves southeast and conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in western NY and northwestern PA. Low Risk to cucurbits beyond on Friday. Saturday's event moves east. Conditions are unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition. Low Risk to cucurbits on Saturday. Sunday's trajectory moves northeast. Conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern NY, VT and NH on Sunday. Low Risk to cucurbits beyond. Monday's event moves east and then curls sharply north. Conditions are mixed for survivable transport and deposition. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northern OH, PA and western NY. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise on Monday.