Regional weather: Thursday, July 5 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A slow moving cold front will approach New England and the Mid-Atlantic states today. Scattered showers are possible for these areas as well as areas of the Ohio River Valley. Rain continues to fall in TX and parts of OK today, as well as in FL. Other areas should expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with warm temperatures today. Highs in the 90's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north. Into the weekend...high pressure will re-establish itself in areas affected by the cold front. Expect mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. There is a chance for afternoon thundershowers in some areas. Highs in the 80's and 90's. Lows in the 50's and 60's north and 70's south.

Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy with occasional rain today and tonight. Mostly cloudy tomorrow with a good chance of rain. High in the 90's, low in the 70's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Serious threat Thursday and Friday. Low threat otherwise. ***

Thursday through Monday: Conditions are favorable for survivable transport and deposition today. High Risk to cucurbits in Deep South TX and southeastern TX. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Friday's and Saturday's events moves similarly to today's event. Conditions are mixed for survivable transport and deposition. Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in Deep South TX and central TX on Friday. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in south TX. Low Risk otherwise on Friday and Saturday. Sunday and Monday...The trajectories are shifted slightly west and then north through TX. Conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in south TX on Sunday and Monday. Low Risk to cucurbits beyond.