Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

5 July 2007

North Carolina State University
Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecast

Date Issued: 5 July 2007
Disease location(s): Duplin, Bertie and Sampson Counties, NC
Trajectory Start: Albertson, Spivey's Corner, Windsor, NC
Forecaster: SC

07/05/07 Eastern NC Forecast Trajectory Plot

Regional weather: Thursday, July 5 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A slow moving cold front will approach New England and the Mid-Atlantic states today. Scattered showers are possible for these areas as well as areas of the Ohio River Valley. Rain continues to fall in TX and parts of OK today, as well as in FL. Other areas should expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with warm temperatures today. Highs in the 90's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north. Into the weekend...high pressure will re-establish itself in areas affected by the cold front. Expect mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. There is a chance for afternoon thundershowers in some areas. Highs in the 80's and 90's. Lows in the 50's and 60's north and 70's south.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies today. High in the lower 90's. Tonight, mostly cloudy with a 50% chance for showers. Low near 70. Tomorrow, partly cloudy, high in the lower 90's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low threat ***

Thursday through Monday: Conditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeastern VA and the DelMarVa peninsula on Thursday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Friday through Monday's events move northeast along the Atlantic coast or offshore. Conditions are mostly unfavorable to unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition throughout the remainder of the forecast period. Weakly Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northeastern NC and southeastern VA on Friday and the coastal plains of NC on Saturday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise Friday and Saturday. Low Risk to cucurbits Sunday and Monday.

<January 09>
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031