Cucurbit

5 July 2007

North Carolina State University
Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecast

Date Issued: 5 July 2007
Disease location(s): Beaufort County, SC
Trajectory Start: Beaufort, SC
Forecaster: SC

07/05/07 Beaufort SC Forecast Trajectory Plot

Regional weather: Thursday, June 5 - Central and Eastern U.S. and Southeastern Canada: A slow moving cold front will approach New England and the Mid-Atlantic states today. Scattered showers are possible for these areas as well as areas of the Ohio River Valley. Rain continues to fall in TX and parts of OK today, as well as in FL. Other areas should expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with warm temperatures today. Highs in the 90's south and 70's and 80's north. Lows in the 70's south and 50's and 60's north. Into the weekend...high pressure will re-establish itself in areas affected by the cold front. Expect mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. There is a chance for afternoon thundershowers in some areas. Highs in the 80's and 90's. Lows in the 50's and 60's north and 70's south.

Trajectory weather: Today, partly cloudy high in the upper 80's. Tonight clear becoming partly cloudy, low in the mid-60's. Tomorrow, partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High in the mid-90's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low threat ***

Thursday through Monday: Conditions are unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition today. Low Risk to cucurbits Thursday. Friday through Monday's events move northward up the Atlantic coast. Coniditions are mostly unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition throughout this period. Low Risk to cucurbits on Friday and Sunday. Weakly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern coastal plains of SC on Saturday and the entire coastal plains of SC on Monday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

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