Regional weather: Thursday, June 14- Southern U.S.: A cold front from the Northeast is sagging into the region today. The mix of moisture and warm temperatures will result in scattered showers and thunderstorms for some areas, especially from the North Carolina south through Florida. Meanwhile, a stationary front sitting over the Central Plains region will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to areas in Oklahoma and northern Texas. Otherwise, expect partly cloudy skies and hot temperatures. Highs ranging from the 70's through 90's, with cooler temperatures in northern areas, lows in the 60's and 70's.

Trajectory weather: Today, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with 50% chance of rain beginning late morning. High near 90. Tonight, partly cloudy skies, low in the 70's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate threat ***

Thursday through Monday: The trajectories move west and offshore each day. There is a good chance for rain each day, resulting in mixed to favorable conditions for survivable transport and deposition. Strongly Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the source region and Southern FL on Thursday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise. Friday through Monday's events move slightly northward up the western coast of the peninsula. Strongly Moderate Risk for cucurbits around the source and in areas just north of the source region on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in these areas on Monday. Low Risk to cucurbits otherwise.