Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

13 June 2006

North Carolina State University
Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecast


Date Issued: 13 June 2006
Disease location(s): Approximately 50 miles East of Monterrey, Nuevo Leon Mexico (additional details soon to come)
Trajectory Start: Approximately 50 miles East of Monterrey
Forecaster: TK

Regional weather: Tuesday, June 13 - Southern TX / Northeast Mexico : Hot, dry weather for the next several days. Highs in the 90's to 100's, lows mostly in the 70's.

Trajectory weather: Mostly clear through the forecast. Highs in the low 100's, low in the mid 70's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Tuesday and Wednesday: Trajectories are moving to the west each day. Conditions are unfavorable for survivable transport, with no rain expected near the source or during the transport events. Low Risk to cucurbits in this region Tuesday and Wednesday.

06/01/06 La Nada, Mexico Forecast Trajectory Plot

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