26 June 2003 Downy Mildew Forecasts

 

FORECAST SUMMARY: Thursday, June 26 :

***** Disease Update - 19 June ***** Our thanks to Kenny Seabold and David Langston with the University of GA.... who inform us of a serious outbreak of downy mildew in Tift County. 75% of a 1-acre field of summer squash is seriously infected. This source will be incorporated into our analysis and evaluation for the forecasts coming out of southern GA. At this time, we will continue to use the Lark Park site as our trajectory starting point.

***** In the Southeast.... Mostly dry conditions on Thursday will give way to more unsettled weather for Friday and beyond. A cold front now west of the mountains will move into the region on Friday and then stall out, remaining over the region during the weekend. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected for most areas on Friday. The pattern of daily showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening will continue for most locations Saturday through Monday. Heavy rains are possible for some areas if the feed of tropical moisture becomes stronger over the weekend. Thursday..... Moderate Risk for southern FL... Weakly Moderate Risk for south-central FL... Low Risk otherwise. On Friday... Moderate Risk for FL and southern GA. Weakly Moderate Risk for eastern SC and eastern NC. Low Risk otherwise.

***** In Texas.... a cold front moving through the state today and Friday will trigger showers and thunderstorms as it passes through the state. Showers and thunderstorms are occurring over the north and east today (plus some in the west). Scattered afternoon showers mainly for the southern 1/2 on Friday. Saturday through Monday looks to be mostly dry. Trajectories from deep south TX move west and northwest today and Friday, so the threat to other regions appears minimal. Low to Weakly Moderate Risk for deep south TX today, Moderate Risk for this region on Friday.

TK


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Previous Sources:

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This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.