North Carolina State University Downy Mildew Forecast

Date Issued: 26 June 2003
Disease location(s): Deep South Texas, Hidalgo and Starr Counties
Trajectory Start (shown by black star (*) on map): Hidalgo, TX

Regional weather: Thursday, June 26 - Texas: Cold front moving through the state today is producing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the north and east with a few popping up in the west as well. Partly cloudy and dry for the south today. The front will sag southward to the southeast TX coast on Friday. Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly across the southern half of the state. Sunny to partly cloudy and mostly dry northern half on Friday. Highs mostly in the 90's, lows mostly 60's and 70's. Saturday through Monday..... dry day on Saturday for TX. Sunday and Monday will be mostly dry also, though some afternoon showers are possible in the Panhandle and perhaps some eastern sections.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy through the forecast. Slight chance of showers this afternoon and evening, rising to 30% overnight. Dry on Friday. High in the upper 90's today, low 90's Friday. Low tonight near 70.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat today, Moderate Threat Friday *** Mostly unfavorable conditions for today's transport event. Low to Weakly Moderate Risk for deep south TX. Friday's trajectory moves northwest along the Mexico side of the Rio Grande. Mixed conditions are expected near the source region with partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Moderate Risk for deep South TX on Friday. Low Risk otherwise. TK

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.

Prepared by: Thomas Keever, Gerald Holmes, C.E. Main, J.M. Davis, Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7616. This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Downy Mildew spores, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimate of potential disease spread over the next two days.

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.