North Carolina State University Downy Mildew Forecast

Date Issued: 22 April 2003
Disease location(s): Southern Florida
Trajectory Start (shown by black star (*) on map): Immokalee, FL and Boynton Beach, FL

Regional weather: Tuesday, April 22 - Southeast U.S.: Cold front pushed into the region yesterday bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly to parts of the northern and central sections. Now lying across northern FL... the front will move southeast through the FL peninsula by Wednesday morning. Partly cloudy central and southern FL with isolated showers possible in some locations. Some clouds today for eastern NC and the mountains which will clear out by Wednesday. All other areas will be sunny / clear and dry Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs in the 70's and 80's each day. Lows ranging from the 40's north to 60's south.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy today, chance of isolated showers this afternoon and evening. High in the low to mid 80's. Partly cloudy tonight and Wednesday. Low in the low 70's, high Wednesday in the low 80's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Unfavorable conditions will be dominant for the next two days. Mixed conditions for survivable transport today. Isolated showers are possible toward the southeastern FL coast. Weakly Moderate Risk for locations near the Atlantic coast today, Low Risk otherwise. Conditions on Tuesday will be even less favorable than today as the trajectories move southwest and west into the Gulf. Sunny, dry weather is expected across southern FL. Low Risk to cucurbit crops on Tuesday in this region. TK

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.

Prepared by: Thomas Keever, Gerald Holmes, C.E. Main, J.M. Davis, Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7616. This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Downy Mildew spores, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimate of potential disease spread over the next two days.

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.