North Carolina State University Downy Mildew Forecast

Date Issued: 17 September 2002
Disease location(s): Charleston, South Carolina
Trajectory Start (shown by black star (*) on map): Charleston, SC

Regional weather: Tuesday, September 17 - Eastern U.S.: A stalled front over the Southeast will return north as a warm front today and Wednesday..... dissipating late Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms are possible along and south of the front. Best chance of rain is in the Southeast and TN and OH river valleys on Tuesday, in and near the southern Appalachian Mountains on Wednesday. High pressure to the north will keep the Northeast and much of the mid-Atlantic regions dry. Highs in the 70's and 80's. Lows mostly 60's.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy through the forecast. 20% chance of showers today and tonight, 50% on Wednesday. High in the upper 80's today, mid-80's Wednesday. Low near 70 tonight.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Mixed and mostly unfavorable conditions expected during transport today and tonight. More solar exposure on Wednesday balanced by a greater chance of showers. Weakly Moderate Risk for southern and eastern SC and south-central NC for Tuesday's transport event. On Wednesday.... the trajectory moves northwest across SC. Mixed conditions during the day, with showers likely during the evening. Moderate Risk for east-central and north-central SC on Wednesday. Low Risk otherwise. TK

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.

Prepared by: Thomas Keever, Gerald Holmes, C.E. Main, J.M. Davis, Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7616. This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Downy Mildew spores, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimate of potential disease spread over the next two days.

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.