North Carolina State University Downy Mildew Forecast

Date Issued: 21 May 2002
Disease location(s): Southwest Florida
Trajectory Start (shown by black star (*) on map): Immokalee, FL

Regional weather: Tuesday, May 21 - Southeast U.S.: High pressure will be governing the weather in the Southeast for the next several days. Temperatures much cooler than normal will begin to moderate later in the week. Some clouds northern sections today with a chance of sprinkles, perhaps light rain near the mountains. Sunny to partly cloudy elsewhere. Onshore flow will give rise to a chance of showers in southern FL and along the Atlantic coast, mainly on Wednesday. Dry otherwise. Highs from the 60's north to 80's south, lows from the 40's north to 60's south.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy today with a 30% chance of showers, high in the 80's. Partly cloudy tonight and Wednesday, low near 70, high in the 80's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Mixed conditions for survivable transport of airborne spores today and Wednesday. Trajectories each day move into the Gulf and should not threaten other areas. 40% chance of showers for the source region today and Wednesday. Moderate Risk for southern FL Tuesday and Wednesday. TK

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.

Prepared by: Thomas Keever, Gerald Holmes, C.E. Main, J.M. Davis, Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7616. This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Downy Mildew spores, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimate of potential disease spread over the next two days.

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.