North Carolina State University Downy Mildew Forecast

Date Issued: 9 May 2002
Disease location(s): Southwest Florida
Trajectory Start (shown by black star (*) on map): Immokalee, FL

Regional weather: Thursday, May 9 - Southeast U.S.: A cold front is approaching the region from the northwest and will enter the region tonight. Like many recent systems.... the front will stall out east-west across central sections of the Southeast on Friday, linger there Saturday, then lift north of the region Saturday night. Sunny to partly cloudy skies today and Friday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across central and northern sections; dry south. On Saturday.... cloudy and cooler north with a chance of rain; mostly cloudy with scattered showers central. Sunny to partly cloudy and dry south. Hot southern sections Thursday through Saturday. Sunny to partly cloudy and warm to hot region-wide on Sunday. Slight chance of showers some areas. The next cold front will move into the region during the Monday/Monday night time frame.

Trajectory weather: Clear to partly cloudy through the forecast. Highs in the 90's today, 80's Friday. Low tonight in the low 70's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Dry, hot, unfavorable weather will continue for much of FL through the weekend. Survivable transport is unlikely, as is possible deposition. Trajectories Friday and Saturday move westward into the Gulf of Mexico. Low Risk to southern FL cucurbit crops through Sunday. TK

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.

Prepared by: Thomas Keever, Gerald Holmes, C.E. Main, J.M. Davis, Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7616. This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Downy Mildew spores, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimate of potential disease spread over the next two days.

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University Departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.