29 August 2002 Downy Mildew Forecasts

 

FORECAST SUMMARY - Thursday, August 29:

*** Favorable conditions for disease development will persist in the Southeast and mid-Atlantic states through the weekend. *** Moisture will continue to flow into the eastern U.S. and a stalled frontal boundary will aid in generating rainfall. Trajectories from most of the sources will tend to move to the southwest, west, or northwest. The greatest chances of disease development will be near the source areas but some long-range transport and deposition is possible. On Thursday..... HIGH RISK for central FL. Moderate Risk for southwest GA, southeast AL, and the FL panhandle. HIGH RISK for eastern NC, Moderate Risk for central NC and north-central SC. Strongly Moderate Risk for southeast MD, eastern VA, and southside VA. Low Risk otherwise. On Friday.... many of the same areas will be affected. Strongly Moderate Risk for central FL. Moderate Risk for southwest GA and southeast AL. HIGH RISK for central and eastern NC. Strongly Moderate Risk for southeast MD, eastern and central VA. Low Risk elsewhere. Saturday and Sunday... mixed conditions for disease development are expected in FL and southern GA, with FL trajectories moving slowly north, southern GA trajectories moving west. Favorable weather is expected in the lower mid-Atlantic region. Trajectories will likely move to the west, northwest, and north. Cucurbit crops from NC northward through central and eastern VA and the DelMarVa are likely to be impacted. Crops in PA and NJ may also be affected.

TK


Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

Immokalee, FL
Charleston, SC


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This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.