FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, May 24: *** All sources are Low Threats Monday and Tuesday *** The formation of a tropical disturbance in the Caribbean that was hinted at by the medium range forecasting models never materialized. The region was watched closely during the weekend, but the area of showers and thunderstorms never got organized and is now moving through areas south and east of Florida and western Cuba. While models do well with the track and position of existing tropical storms, they are notoriously unreliable when it comes to forecasting their formation.
*** Back in the United States, growers in the Southeast are getting another break from Mother Nature. *** Due to the speed, the timing of its passage, and a few other factors, the cold front moving through the region will not be as nasty as it once appeared it might be last week. Trajectories from southern GA and northern FL are moving mostly to the east Monday and Tuesday and conditions are unfavorable for survivable transport of spores. Only isolated showers are expected on Monday and no rain is forecast for Tuesday. There is Low Risk to growers in the Southeast U.S. for Monday and Tuesday. Conditions near the other source regions are unfavorable as well. No dangerous long-range transport is expected and there is Low Risk for growers in those areas. TK
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
Seriously Threatening Sources: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 1999
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
None
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 24 May 1999.
