FORECAST DISCUSSION: Wednesday, June 9: *** Conditions in the Ohio Valley and Southeast have become a little more favorable for disease development. *** Recent drought conditions continue in many areas, but the chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms is coming back into the forecasts. Wednesday and Thursday, this is happening in the Ohio Valley and in the southern Georgia and northern Florida areas. Blue mold has the potential to become revitalized in these regions and the threat level in these areas will probably increase. All growers are at Low Risk Wednesday. On Thursday, growers in the Carolinas will remain at Low Risk....and there will be Moderate Risk for growers in southern Georgia and northern Florida.....eastern and north-central Kentucky, southern Indiana, and southern Ohio. The extended outlook for the weekend remains largely uncertain, but it appears that the threat of showers and thunderstorms will be present in the Ohio Valley, and there may be a chance of rain in parts of the Carolinas.
*** Tom Melton has reported that blue mold is widespread in Richmond and Moore Counties in NC, so this area has been added to the forecasts. Given the number of sources now present in the mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley, the source regions in southern Georgia and northern Florida will from now on be represented by a single trajectory located at Tifton, GA. TK
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
Seriously Threatening Sources: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
*** NEW FEATURE ***
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 1999
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
San Antonio de los Banos, Cuba
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Corpus Christi, Texas
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 9 June 1999.
