Update: Tuesday, 15 June.....My apologies to those of you who have been trying to read the individual forecasts. We have had some computer/web server communication problems the past 24 hours and the best I could do on Monday evening was to get this discussion page up for you. All forecasts have now been loaded and should be viewable. Looks like the favorable weather in the Southeast will continue through at least Thursday....maybe longer depending on your location. TK
FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, June 14: *** Conditions in the Southeast will be favorable for blue mold this week. *** A cold front moving through the Ohio Valley today will push into the Southeast on Tuesday and then slow down dramatically. The weather in the Ohio Valley region is favorable today and will turn unfavorable on Tuesday after the front passes. In the Southeast, the weather is mostly unfavorable on Monday but will turn favorable for at least several days afterward. Given the fact that disease activity levels remain fairly low near the known sources, long-range transport and deposition events are not expected in the short term. Instead, the period of favorable conditions will more likely mean a revitalization of disease activity near the current sources. In the Ohio Valley, there is Moderate Risk of localized disease development today, Low Risk on Tuesday. In southern Georgia and northern Florida, there is Moderate Risk of disease development both today and Tuesday. In the Carolinas, there is Low Risk today, Moderate Risk on Tuesday. TK
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
Seriously Threatening Sources: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
*** NEW FEATURE ***
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 1999
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
San Antonio de los Banos, Cuba
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Corpus Christi, Texas
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 14 June 1999.
