FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, March 24, 1997 - Conditions near all the source regions are generally unfavorable for spore survival during transport, so no long-range threat from any of the disease areas is expected. The weather is somewhat favorable for localized development in Cuba and southern Texas today and Tuesday. Localized development is also possible near the Mexican source regions, though the conditions at those locations are only marginally favorable. The weather in the Southern Plains will be watched closely as a developing frontal system moves through the area. It's possible that spores released tomorrow may travel ahead of the system to sites farther east. Additional forecasts will be produced on Tuesday if the situation warrants it. TK

THREATENING SOURCES: None

HIGH RISK AREAS: None

• Pinar del Rio, Cuba
• Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
• San Andres Tuxtla, Veracruz, Mexico
• Tapachula, Chiapas, Mexico
• Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
• Uvalde, Texas
• Weslaco, Texas

***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.

Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 24 March 1997.