FORECAST DISCUSSION: Friday, June 27, 1997 - *** Other than eastern NC for Friday's release, no High Risk areas this weekend. *** Sources in the Carolinas are SERIOUS Threats, especially for today's activity. There is HIGH RISK for growers in E NC and Strongly Moderate Risk for NE SC. On Saturday, there is Strongly Moderate Risk for northern SC and southern NC, but the risk drops to Low for eastern NC growers. By Sunday, afternoon showers will be a possibility again, so the risk jumps back to Moderate for growers near the sources in the coastal plains of the Carolinas. Elsewhere in the east, growers in south-central VA and north-central NC face a Moderate Risk situation today, but the threats and risk levels from the Jeffress, VA and Lancaster, PA sources will be low on Saturday and Sunday.

Growers in the Ohio Valley and southern Appalachian mountains will be at Moderate Risk all weekend. Skies will be a mixture of sunshine and clouds and a chance of mainly late-day showers or t'storms will persist through Sunday. Areas at Moderate Risk include western NC, SW VA, central and eastern TN, central and eastern KY, and southern Indiana. TK

SERIOUS SOURCE THREATS: Lizzie, NC and Conway, SC for Friday's spore release

Eastern NC for Friday's release

• Lizzie, North Carolina
• Conway, South Carolina
• Jeffress, Virginia
• Columbia, Tennessee
• Shelbyville, KY
• Marshall, North Carolina
• Jonesville, Virginia
• Lancaster, Pennsylvania

***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.

Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 27 June 1997.