FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, July 14, 1997 - *** The weather early this week is mostly unfavorable for disease development. *** There are NO High Risk areas or Serious Threats Monday and Tuesday. All the source areas are Low Threats for Monday's spore release, and growers are at Low Risk. However, a frontal system will move closer to the growing regions as the week progresses, and conditions will gradually become more favorable for disease development. For Tuesday's release, sources in the Ohio Valley and the southern Appalachian Mountains are Mild Threats, and growers in those areas will be at Moderate Risk of disease development. Locations east of the mountains will remain at Low Risk. Here are the Moderate Risk areas: SE Indiana, SW Ohio, Kentucky, central and eastern TN, western NC, SW Virginia, and southern WV. TK

SERIOUS SOURCE THREATS: NONE

HIGH RISK GROWING AREAS: NONE

• Lizzie, North Carolina
• Jeffress, Virginia
• Columbia, Tennessee
• Hopkinsville, KY
• Shelbyville, KY
• Jonesville, Virginia
• Lancaster, Pennsylvania

***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.

Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 14 July 1997.