FORECAST DISCUSSION: Friday, August 8, 1997 - *** Weather favorable for disease development is moving into the Ohio Valley and southern Appalachian Mountains this weekend. *** The high pressure area currently controlling the weather will be moving eastward off the coast this weekend. Strong southerly flow will pump moisture up from the Gulf. Clouds and the chance of showers are in the southern and western growing areas today. Unsettled weather will spread into the central Ohio Valley region and the Appalachian Mountains Saturday and Sunday. Southern Ontario will have a chance of rain later this weekend also. East coast growing areas should remain dry all weekend.
Wisconsin growers should not miss the forecasts from Winchester, KY. Trajectories originating in KY are going north each day, and the potential exists for disease development in Wisconsin. Risk to growers in that region is Weakly Moderate today and Saturday, and probably low on Sunday. Other areas at Weakly Moderate Risk today include far W KY, SW IN, and S IL.
Growers in the Ohio Valley region and southern Appalachian Mountains will be at Moderate Risk Saturday and Sunday. The risk will be Strongly Moderate for E KY, S OH, and S IN on Saturday, and conditions will be generally favorable for disease development in these regions during the rest of the weekend.
The growing areas in CT and Southeast PA are Low Threats this weekend. There is a slight chance of some localized disease development in CT today, but otherwise, conditions will be unfavorable for disease development this weekend.
As stated Wednesday, this is the last of our regular production forecasts. I hope that these Forecasts have been of benefit to the growers. Please feel free to pass along any comments or suggestions you may have, and don't forget to check on our web site every so often! Thanks.......TK
SERIOUS SOURCE THREATS: Winchester, KY
HIGH RISK GROWING AREAS: NONE
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 8 August 1997.