FORECAST DISCUSSION: Wednesday, April 2, 1997 - Weather conditions in the southern Texas and NE Mexico region remain favorable for blue mold development the next few days. Cloudy skies and rain are likely, and there is a chance that spores from the Tepic and Papantla sources in Mexico may reach this area as well. Some localized disease development is expected near Tepic on Thursday. The Cuban and other Mexican sources are minimal threats today and Thursday. Conditions are mostly unfavorable for both long-range and short-range development. There is no threat to the U.S. productions areas during this forecast period. TK

SERIOUS THREATS: Southern Texas sources, locally.

HIGH RISK AREAS: S Texas/NE Mexico

• Pinar del Rio, Cuba
• Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
• San Andres Tuxtla, Veracruz, Mexico
• Tapachula, Chiapas, Mexico
• Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
• Uvalde, Texas
• Weslaco, Texas

***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.

Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 2 April 1997.