6 May 1996 Blue Mold Forecasts

FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, May 6 - *** No blue mold reported in U.S. growing areas *** The general weather pattern continues to help the disease situation. Conditions this past weekend were mostly unfavorable for safe transport, and no trajectories threatened any growing areas. Cool, rainy conditions present in the Ohio Valley are good for infection. The S Texas sources have the best opportunity to send spores to that region, yet the disease is weak down there and most trajectories aren't coming very far east. The Cuban sources are the strongest right now. However, the dominant high pressure in the SE is pushing the trajectories far to the west and keeping skies fair, so the threat from them is low. After today and tomorrow, the cloudiness in Texas and N Mexico should lessen, aiding the situation even more. Current forecasts don't show much change from the current scene all this week. TK

HIGH-RISK SOURCES: None


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This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.

Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 6 May 1996.