FORECAST DISCUSSION: Thursday, June 13, 1996
*** Special Update for threat to mountain/foothills production areas *** Trajectories today from the sources in Kentucky are travelling east initially and then curve to the SE or S overnight. These pathways take the spores into the burley-growing areas of the southern Appalachian Mountains and then into the piedmont region of the Carolinas and VA. The risk of disease development from these sources is low to moderate, with the S KY site at Monticello posing the most threat. Spores from Monticello are more likely to survive Thursday afternoon because of the greater cloudiness along the forecast track, and the trajectory travels right into the heart of the mountain growing region. Risk from today's release will decrease substantially after 12Z Friday. Skies are forecast to be partly cloudy, so any spores not killed during the day today will likely be killled tomorrow before any showers can wash them out. TK
HIGH-RISK SOURCES: None
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 13 June 1996.