FORECAST DISCUSSION: Tuesday, July 16, 1996
*** Complete outlooks available tomorrow *** The disease development situation is much improved for today. The Kentucky and Appalachian Mountain sources are low risk due to the abundant sunshine any spores should receive during their journey to the east. Elsewhere, skies are cloudy today in eastern North Carolina through mid-afternoon and showers and thunderstorms are active in the region, especially the southern half. The SE NC sources are High Risk for localized development and the NE NC source is a low to weakly moderate risk. Trajectories from these sources track off to the northeast through time. The line of heavy weather that moved through the SE coastal plain of NC during the morning and midday hours likely washed out nearly all airborne spores near the source region. Spores released from the weakish Battleboro source are experiencing some lethal solar exposure as they go and there is a slim chance that a few survivors may be rained out over SE VA this evening. Conditions for the mid-to-latter part of this week should remain generally unfavorable for development in the mid-Atlantic and Kentucky, as hot, mostly dry weather is in the forecast.
HIGH-RISK SOURCES: #14, SE NC (Localized)
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 16 July 1996.