FORECAST DISCUSSION: There doesn't appear to have been much threat of disease spread during the past weekend, mostly due to the sunny weather any airborne spores would have had to endure. Conditions ahead of the front approaching the east coast are good for survivable transport. However, we still have no reports of the disease in the U.S., and it looks like neither the southerly wind pattern nor cloudy skies will extend far enough south to bring the Cuban sources into play this time. The situation is being monitored closely, though, and a special forecast may be made tomorrow (the 23rd) if need be. There may be some local or short-range disease movement in the S TX/N Mexico area today. If any, it will likely involve coastal sources infecting areas to their NW, further inland, where some live spores may get washed out from rain showers or storms. No long-range transport is expected from any of the Mexican or Honduran sources. TK
HIGH-RISK SOURCES: None
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 30 April 1996.