19 April 1996 Blue Mold Forecasts

Forecast Discussion: There are no significant threats of disease spread for a few days. Informed reports indicate that all listed sources are sporulating (though the S TX sources are weak), but the possibilities for survivable transport and later deposition and/or infection are slim. The high pressure area parked off the east coast is strong for this time of year, and the easterly winds across Cuba are helping protect us by pushing the trajectories over the Gulf of Mexico (GOM). Still, the proximity of the Cuban sources is troublesome, and the favorable weather pattern can't persist indefinitely. The drought in S TX/N Mexico continues, helping weaken the disease, but the chances for rainfall in that region will be rising somewhat in the coming days. On the whole, though, we're in great shape! TK

HIGH-RISK SOURCES: None


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This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.

Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 30 April 1996.