North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast
Forecast Summary: Saturday, July 5
Regional Weather (Southeast / mid-Atlantic States): Highly unsettled weather for the next 3 days. Classic summertime setup for rainfall has established itself ... with the Bermuda High off the coast and an upper-level trough situated just to the west. Add in a stalled frontal boundary across the mid-Atlantic / Ohio Valley, and you have a recipe for partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms in the Southeast and mid-Atlantic regions. Rain will fall mainly in the afternoons and evenings, but showers may occur at any time. Highs in the 80's and 90's with some 70's north, lows mostly 60's and 70's.
OUTLOOK
Saturday through Monday
GA / FL sources: As happened earlier this week, transport events are moving northeast into the Carolinas each day. Conditions will be favorable for survivable transport and deposition. Saturday through Monday: Strongly Moderate to HIGH Risk for tobacco in southern GA, northern FL, and central and eastern SC each day. Moderate Risk for central and eastern NC each day. Low Risk otherwise.
VA source: This source is quite weak. Transport events are moving northeast, with Sunday's and Monday's travelling faster and farther than Saturday's. Conditions will be favorable for survivable transport and deposition. Risks will be tempered due to the weakness of the source. Saturday through Monday: Moderate Risk to tobacco in eastern VA each day. Weakly Moderate Risk for MD and southeast PA each day. Weakly Moderate Risk for southern New England Sunday and Monday. Low Risk otherwise.
TK