North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast
Date Issued: 31 March 2006
Disease location(s):
Western Cuba
Trajectory Start:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Forecaster: MM
Regional weather: Friday, March 31 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: High pressure to the northeast is pushing the forecast trajectories westward out over the Gulf of Mexico. No rain is expected through the weekend.
Trajectory weather: The skies will be mostly sunny with a small chance of rain. The high temperature will be in the 80s with a low in the 70s.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: The trajectories through Sunday all move westward out over the water. Any live spores should either die due to solar exposure or become washed out over the Gulf waters. The forecast trajectories do not pose any threat to U.S. tobacco production areas. Low Risk to US production areas. Low Risk elsewhere. Please note that the NAPDFC has not received an official report of blue mold in Pinar del Rio to date.
