Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

29 March 2006

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 29 March 2006
Disease location(s): Western Cuba
Trajectory Start: Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Wednesday, March 29 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: High pressure to the northeast is pushing the forecast trajectories westward out over the Gulf of Mexico. No rain is expected through midweek.

Trajectory weather: The skies will be mostly sunny with a small chance of rain. The high temperature will be in the 80s with a low in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Wednesday and Thursday: The trajectories through Friday all move westward out over the water. Any live spores should either die due to solar exposure or become washed out over the Gulf waters. The forecast trajectories do not pose any threat to U.S. tobacco production areas. Low Risk to US production areas. Low Risk elsewhere. Please note that the NAPDFC has not received an official report of blue mold in Pinar del Rio to date.

03/29/2006 Pinar del Rio Forecast Trajectory

<October 13>
SMTWTFS
12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
2728293031