Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

29 June 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 29 June 2005
Disease location(s): Unknown
Trajectory Start: Uvalde, Texas
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Wednesday, June 29 - Central and Southern Texas, U.S.: A weak pressure gradient is limiting moisture advection into the region from the Gulf of Mexico which is reducing morning cloud cover. The high pressure over the Southern Plains is keeping the forecast dry and cloud free. Thunderstorms are always a possibility this time of year, but the chances of seeing one are very low.

Trajectory weather: It will be mostly clear and hot all day. High temperatures will be near 100. The low overnight will be in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

We have no reports of blue mold from southern Texas. We are monitoring trajectories from this region in case any potentially threatening transport episodes arise.

Wednesday and Thursday: Widespread spore death is expected due to solar exposure for the Wednesday and Thursday transport events. Low Risk to susceptible crops.

06/29/2005 Uvalde Forecast Trajectory

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