Regional weather: Wednesday, June 29 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: High pressure is keeping the skies over the eastern Gulf of Mexico clear. The high amount of moisture in the are is making afternoon thunderstorms likely over land.

Trajectory weather: The skies will be mostly sunny with a chance for afternoon thunderstorms. The high temperature will be in the 80s with a low in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Wednesday and Thursday:

The strength of the source in Pinar del Rio is not specifically known. However, due to the lateness of the season, we expected it to be diminished. Therefore, risk levels will be dropped one level to represent the suspected weakness of the source.

The trajectories through Thursday all carry westward out into the Gulf. Solar exposure should kill all airborne spores over the Gulf. Thunderstorms over western Cuba pose a low risk for washout. tobacco production areas. Weakly Moderate Risk to susceptible crops in extreme western Cuba. Low Risk to US production areas. Low Risk elsewhere.