North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast
Date Issued: 27 June 2005
Disease location(s):
Unknown
Trajectory Start: Uvalde, Texas
Forecaster: MM
Regional weather: Monday, June 27 - Central and Southern Texas, U.S.: A weak pressure gradient is limiting moisture advection into the region from the Gulf of Mexico which is reducing morning cloud cover. High pressure over the southern Plains is keeping the forecast dry and cloud free. Thunderstorms are always a possibility this time of year, but the chances of seeing one are very low.
Trajectory weather: It will be mostly clear and hot all day. High temperatures will be near 100. The low overnight will be in the 70s.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***
We have no reports of blue mold from southern Texas. We are monitoring trajectories from this region in case any potentially threatening transport episodes arise.
Monday and Tuesday: The trajectories from Uvalde all travel northward away from known production areas. Solar exposure is expected to be sufficient to kill all airborne spores. If blue mold is present: Low Risk to known tobacco production areas. Low Risk otherwise.
