Regional weather: Friday, June 17 - Western Mexico: Rain is in the forecast for Tepic. Some mid/upper-level instability will allow for the formation of some storms.

Trajectory weather: Light cloud cover in the morning clearing by midday . It will be dry with highs near 90. Rain threatens through the weekend. All trajectories oscillate in the sea breeze circulation and stay near the Tepic source.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Due to the constant solar exposure over the past few weeks and the suspected weak nature of the source, forecast threat and risk level will be reduced from where they would be if this were a full strength active source.

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: Storms are forecast to pop up randomly through the weekend. In between storms, there is expected to be strong solar exposure that will kill airborne spores. Weakly Moderate Risk to susceptible plants along near the Tepic source.