Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

22 June 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 22 June 2005
Disease location(s): Western Mexico production areas
Trajectory Start: Tepic, Mexico
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Wednesday, June 22 - Western Mexico: Rain is in the forecast for Tepic. Some mid/upper-level instability, left from the trough that was off the US Atlantic coast, will allow for the formation of some storms.

Trajectory weather: Light cloud cover in the morning clearing by midday . It will be dry with highs near 90. Rain will occur into the weekend. All trajectories oscillate in the sea breeze circulation and stay near the Tepic source.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Wednesday and Thursday: Scattered shower are forecast to occur toward night and into the morning. The showers will dissipate by midday, allowing for strong solar exposure. Low Risk to susceptible plants along Wednesday and Thursday's transport event.

06/22/2005 Tepic Forecast Trajectory

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