Regional weather: Friday, June 17 - Western Mexico: Rain is in the forecast for Tepic. The upper-level ridge that is building over the central US is causing some mid/upper-level instability which will allow for the formation of some storms.

Trajectory weather: Light cloud cover in the morning clearing by midday . It will be dry with highs near 90. Rain will occur into the weekend. All trajectories oscillate in the sea breeze circulation and stay near the Tepic source.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Due to the constant solar exposure over the past few weeks and the suspected weak nature of the source, forecast threat and risk level will be reduced from where they would be if this were a full strength active source.

Friday: Unfavorable conditions for survivable transport and deposition through the weekend, with sunny to partly cloudy skies and no rain forecast. Low Risk to susceptible plants along Friday's transport event.

Saturday: Scattered shower are forecast to occur Friday night and into Saturday morning. The showers will dissipate by midday allowing for stong solar exposure. Low Risk to susceptible plants along Saturday's transport event.

Sunday: Afternoon thunderstorms are forecast for Sunday. Solar exposure should kill airborne spores before convection occurs. Low Risk to susceptible plants along Sunday's transport event.