Regional weather: Friday, June 17 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: High pressure dominates the weather over the Gulf, but the are low pressure throughs over the eastern US and into the western Caribbean that are having this influence. Afternoon thunderstorms are in the forecast as well as rain from a systems forecast to develop off the Yucatan coast late in the weekend.

Trajectory weather: Warm and sunny with afternoon thunderstorms. High temperatures in the 80s and lows in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: The trajectories through the weekend all carry west and northwest out into the Gulf. The trajectories should washout over Cuba with afternoon convection or in the Gulf with developing rains. The forecast trajectories do not pose any threat to U.S. tobacco production areas. Strongly Moderate Risk to susceptible crops in extreme western Cuba. Low Risk to US production areas. Low Risk elsewhere.