Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

15 June 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 15 June 2005
Disease location(s): Unknown
Trajectory Start: Uvalde, Texas
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Wednesday, June 15 - Central and Southern Texas, U.S.: Moisture is still being carried into the Southern Plains from the Gulf of Mexico creating morning clouds. Other than this, skies across the Southern Plains are expected to be clear and dry barring the chance for severe weather in the afternoons. High pressure subsidence is keep the chances for thunderstorms low.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny and hot Wednesday and Thursday, with highs in upper 90s and lows in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

We have no reports of blue mold from southern Texas. We are monitoring trajectories from this region in case any potentially threatening transport episodes arise.

Wednesday and Thursday: Widespread spore death is expected due to solar exposure for the Wednesday and Thursday transport events. Low Risk to susceptible crops.

06/15/2005 Uvalde Forecast Trajectory

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