Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

15 June 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 15 June 2005
Disease location(s): Western Cuba
Trajectory Start: Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Wednesday, June 15 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: High pressure is keeping most of the wet weather south and east of western Cuba. The high pressure ridge is expected to hold through Friday, leaving only a chance for afternoon thunderstorms.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny skies with cloud cover increasing toward evening. Warm with a high in the 80s and an overnight low in the 70s. There will be a chance for a thunderstorm in the evening.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Wednesday and Thursday: The trajectories Wednesday and Thursday travel westward and out to sea. Solar exposure should kill airborne spores. Additionally, the trajectories should be nearly out to sea before the risk for thunderstorms becomes great.Low Risk from the Pinar del Rio source Wednesday and Thursday.

06/15/2005 Pinar del Rio Forecast Trajectory

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