Regional weather: Monday, June 13 - Extreme southern Mexico: Convection is still light across the southern Mexico and Yucatan regions Monday. Model precipitation forecast indicated the the convection will pick back up though.

Trajectory weather: Clear early with cloud increasing in the afternoon as thunderstorms develop. There will be a high near 35C and a low near 25C.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** High Threat ***

Monday and Tuesday: Partly cloud skies early Monday give the chance for some solar exposure killing spores. Mostly cloudy skies and rain create a favorable environment for live spore transport Tuesday. Washout will occur very early along the forecast trajectory limiting deposition to areas very close to the source. Moderate Risk to production areas near the Tapachula Source Monday. High Risk to production areas near the Tapachula Source Tuesday. Low Risk otherwise.