North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast
Date Issued: 13 June 2005
Disease location(s):
Western Cuba
Trajectory Start:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Forecaster: MM
Regional weather: Monday, June 13 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: The weather is fairly clear over the eastern Gulf with only afternoon Thunderstorms posing a threat. This trend is expect to continue for at least a few days.
Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny and dry early Monday with a high in the 80s and a few scattered clouds. Trajectories will be carried westward, offshore into the tropical rains near the Yucatan coast.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***
Monday and Tuesday: There will be strong solar exposure and dry weather while the trajectories are over land Monday and Tuesday. Spores that survive over land will be washed out offshore. Low Risk to US production areas.
