North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast
Date Issued: 10 June 2005
Disease location(s):
Unknown
Trajectory Start: Uvalde, Texas
Forecaster: MM
Regional weather: Friday, June 10 - Central and Southern Texas, U.S.: Moist air coming into the Southern Plains from the Gulf will help form morning clouds. These cloud should clear by midday allowing for strong solar heating creating high temperatures in and around the triple digits. Thunderstorms are expected to be common to the north with the occasional storm forming in NM and west TX as small upper-level disturbance move through the region.
Trajectory weather: It will be mostly cloudy in the morning, but will clear by midday. Temperatures will near 100 degrees. The low overnight will be in the 70s.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: The trajectories from Uvlade all travel northward away from known production areas. Solar exposure is expected to be sufficient to kill most, if not all, airborne spores. If blue mold is present: Low Risk to known tobacco production areas. Low Risk otherwise.
